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California HSR faces 2027 funding cliff, Inspector General warns

California High-Speed Rail Inspector General Ben Belnap has warned the project could exhaust funding by December 2027, calling the authority's updated business plan "dramatically incomplete."

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  1. Inspector General Ben Belnap warned funding could run out by December 2027 and called the business plan "dramatically incomplete"
  2. Authority board approved $3.5 billion for track construction on the 119-mile Merced-Bakersfield starter segment
  3. Starter line now estimated at $36 billion; full Bay Area-LA system projected at $126 billion to $230 billion, completion pushed to 2039
  4. Authority has spent more than $5.7 billion on delay and change-order fees, including $537 million paid to one contractor in February
  5. State has committed to providing $1 billion annually for the next 20 years; Momentum Alliance Partners deal announced with no capital commitments yet

California's High-Speed Rail Authority faces a December 2027 funding cliff, according to Inspector General Ben Belnap, who has labelled the authority's updated business plan "dramatically incomplete" and warned that the project could run out of money before construction of its 119-mile starter line is complete.

What does the latest business plan say?

CEO Ian Choudri presented his first business plan at the authority's June meeting, setting out a revised cost band and schedule. Key disclosures:

  • Full Bay Area-to-Los Angeles system cost projection: $126 billion to $230 billion
  • Target completion: 2039, nineteen years after the original 2020 deadline
  • 119-mile Merced-to-Bakersfield initial segment: $36 billion
  • 62 of 90 guideway structures completed in the Central Valley
  • $3.5 billion additional track-construction appropriation approved by the board

"I just want to say that today is really the turning point for high-speed rail," Choudri told the meeting.

How did costs escalate from the 2008 baseline?

The programme launched with a $33 billion to $33.5 billion estimate for the entire San Francisco-to-Los Angeles corridor. The authority's change-order disclosures show it has now spent more than $5.7 billion on delay and change-order fees, including $537 million paid to one contractor in February. Another contractor has billed the state $170,000 per day in delay fees, local business owner James Weirick told KCRA.

The state has committed to providing $1 billion annually for the next 20 years. Choudri said most of the damage was done before he took over as CEO two years ago. Cutting red tape around utility relocations could save money, he added.

Why has the schedule slipped?

Choudri acknowledged that early-stage construction began before utility lines were relocated and parcels acquired, a sequencing choice he described as a process failure rather than an engineering one.

"Building a rail system like this, yes, it is complicated. Yes, it takes time. It's not all about construction. It's more about the process that it takes to get to construction and then get it to the finish line," Choudri said.

Land acquisition has produced visible opposition. Farmer and eminent-domain attorney Michael Dias lost 81 acres across seven ranches and intends to sell his remaining orchards.

"It's affected a lot of people in the community. It's been looked upon as a complete fiasco," Dias said. "I honestly don't think [it] will ever run. By the time it's ready to run, the technology will be outdated."

Weirick, whose property hosted utility relocations, called the work "a constant disappointment and disruption of commerce."

What private-sector involvement is on the table?

The authority has signed a co-development agreement with Momentum Alliance Partners, a consortium of companies with high-speed rail experience. Choudri said the group is evaluating potential investments but has yet to commit capital.

What is the political response?

Republican state Assembly Member David Tangipa, whose Fresno-area district sits inside the construction zone, ties his oversight role to the project's finances.

"Whenever anybody asks me what my position on high-speed rail is, I tell them I did not vote for high-speed rail because I was 12 years old when this project started," Tangipa said. He added: "The only thing California High-Speed Rail is on track for is to be the third most expensive infrastructure in the world."

Senator Shannon Grove, a Bakersfield Republican, shares that view. Board Member Anthony Williams framed the dispute differently: "I like to say there are doers and doubters. We are the doers because we know this is going to happen."

The Inspector General's December 2027 funding-exhaustion finding will now frame the next legislative budget review.

via hips.hearstapps.com (Original)

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Rebecca Stone

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Senior reporter covering business strategy at Mainline Report.

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